8/1 on Ukip in Oldham three weeks ago seemed like spectacularly good use of a tenner, and Ladbrokes are now down to 5/2, which the Speccie thinks is still high. But disaster: nice Mr McMahon has told nice Mr Corbyn to fuck off back to his cave and it’ll probably take a Danczuk defection next door to rescue my pension fund. What’s SD’s diary looking like tomorrow morning?
(Here’s the standard text on probability vs. preferences.)
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